In 2026, the global economy will continue to grow, but at a more cautious pace than in previous years.

The expansion of trade barriers and the introduction of new rules are slowing momentum slightly.

That said, this is not a period of stagnation—growth remains in place, just calmer and more measured.

According to a report by the Eurasian Development Bank, global economic growth will persist, though without the speed seen before. The U.S. economy is expected to grow by about 1.6%, while the eurozone will manage growth of around 1%. These figures suggest stability in advanced economies, but without strong acceleration. In simple terms, risks are being managed, yet overall momentum is modest.

Against this backdrop, China once again takes center stage. With a projected growth rate of 4.6%, China will remain the main engine of the global economy. Rising domestic consumption, along with expansion in technology and manufacturing, is driving this performance. China’s strong showing is also likely to have a positive spillover effect on other Asian economies.

Still, challenges remain. Global trade continues to face pressure from new tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and shifts in energy markets. For emerging economies, this creates a mixed picture: financial market volatility brings risks, but it also opens the door to new investment and cooperation opportunities.

Overall, 2026 can be described as a year of “cautious optimism” for the world economy. Growth will continue, but at a slower pace than before. The future trajectory will largely depend on China’s performance, the stability of the U.S. and the eurozone, and how global trade policies evolve.